Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 67.831336 76.455823 85.323872 95.093583 105.524835 116.300788 128.245928
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 54.421048 66.721029 79.987648 95.236182 112.158526 130.251524 150.948328
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 46.740815 61.079074 77.099475 96.070649 117.679780 141.305255 168.869689
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 39.838538 55.337745 73.236376 95.008486 120.377140 148.642403 182.163311
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 35.643099 52.232958 71.941523 96.455192 125.545904 158.444932 197.957044
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 32.376183 49.877473 71.215347 98.286455 130.926883 168.312092 213.690283
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 28.310913 46.105337 68.422710 97.336189 132.776087 173.894924 224.337319
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 24.214666 41.898688 64.757724 95.022890 132.742008 177.069991 232.017134
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 22.955321 41.404280 65.741495 98.425172 139.596110 188.374844 249.233142
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 21.461690 40.435156 65.995175 100.818203 145.153420 198.102356 264.583764
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 18.903399 37.703738 63.721985 99.813401 146.369352 202.512694 273.544807
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 16.575813 35.094689 61.441013 98.649816 147.266312 206.446170 281.867585
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 14.863920 33.302526 60.215693 98.847046 149.899823 212.557439 292.917661
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 13.327573 31.644105 59.075989 99.082552 152.534985 218.651909 303.956035
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 12.113497 30.393366 58.434631 99.925105 155.906400 225.631716 316.063939
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 10.526297 28.330995 56.469384 98.838520 156.677059 229.304669 324.079537
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.710603 27.552364 56.374096 100.320590 160.809703 237.199509 337.308392
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 9.053390 26.997353 56.577490 102.196662 165.453978 245.744843 351.361721
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 7.852090 25.261647 54.841527 101.223197 166.224553 249.325400 359.220362
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 6.514106 23.057143 52.219928 98.853069 165.017784 250.307846 363.781280
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 6.359249 23.310263 53.588667 102.338754 171.801972 261.597474 381.310805
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 6.033775 23.155390 54.263796 104.789783 177.171961 271.074370 396.585986
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.170609 21.677837 52.646380 103.760693 177.705822 274.253816 403.899911